I lost all of the Sunday afternoon and prime time games last week, but still finished 9-7. I’m 29-19 for the season. Here are my Week 4 picks:
New York Giants over Washington
I predicted that this one would be close, but instead we got another Thursday night blowout. Washington fans also got a harsh reminder of why Kirk Cousins was the backup.
Chicago over Green Bay
Through three games, these two normally-potent passing attacks have been off the mark and their top running backs have been non-factors. But though the Bears defense is still a far cry from acceptable, they seem to be turning things around. But I don’t see Aaron Rodgers staying in this rut for much longer.
Buffalo over Houston
Buffalo and Houston aren’t as good as their 2-0 record indicated. In fact, whoever wins here won’t be as good as their 3-1 record indicates either. Arian Foster is questionable today, so the Texans offense may be without one of their most dangerous weapons. Buffalo should have C.J. Spiller, Fred Jackson, and Sammy Watkins in the starting lineup, and I think they figure out a way to utilize all three this time around.
Baltimore over Carolina
With a decimated backfield and offensive line, the Panthers have too many injuries on offense to keep up with Baltimore.
Indianapolis over Tennessee
I thought that Tennessee was turning a corner with their opening win, but it seems that this season will be more of the same. The Colts still struggle against teams outside the AFC South (hence their 0-2 start), but they should win games like this easily.
Detroit over New York Jets
The Lions offense vs. the Jets defense will be a fun matchup to watch. The rest of the game though? Not so much. Detroit’s defense had a great outing in last week’s win over Green Bay and should pick up right where they left off here.
Pittsburgh over Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is still pretty bad. Pittsburgh is coming off a huge win at Carolina and may have a decent defense after all. I think Ben Roethlisberger leads them to a close win.
Oakland over Miami
Oakland’s next five games after Miami? San Diego and Arizona at home, at Cleveland, at Seattle, home to Denver, and at San Diego. If they’re to win in the next 3-6 weeks, this may have to be right here. The Dolphins are thinking about shutting down Ryan Tannehill (as if Matt Moore is a better option) and they’ve struggled since their opening win New England. Maurice Jones-Drew looks like he’ll be available too.
San Diego over Jacksonville
It took Jacksonville three weeks before they realized that rookie first-round pick Blake Bortles can’t do much worse than Chad Henne. Three weeks too long, maybe, but I don’t see it affecting the outcome here. The Jaguars aren’t good enough to truly compete at the moment.
Atlanta over Minnesota
Like Jacksonville, Minnesota is going with the rookie in Teddy Bridgewater. But in this case, it took a season-ending injury to Matt Cassel for them to make the switch. Bridgewater looks like he can lead the offense better than Bortles can in Jacksonville, but without Adrian Peterson I don’t expect his talent to shine through in the win column.
San Francisco over Philadelphia
The Niners are a first half team. Mainly because they can’t get anything going in the second. The Eagles are a second half team, for the similar reasons. But I have more faith in San Francisco jumping out to a lead than I do Philadelphia making another second-half comeback.
Dallas over New Orleans
The “Drew Brees struggles on the road” narrative is unique because it’s one of the few that truly exists. The numbers say as much. With both New Orleans and Dallas disappointing on defense, this may be a high-scoring game that comes down to the final possessions. The Cowboys can put up points and should be able to keep up with a Saints offense, even at its best.
New England over Kansas City
Tom Brady and the Patriots offense have been poor through the first three games. The Chiefs defense has struggled as well. This game will give us a better idea of which team should be in panic mode. I think it’s Kansas City.
Record (Week): 7-6
Record (Season): 36-25